Happy Thanksgiving everyone! I have been most excited about this post this week and I hope you find the numbers interesting as well.
As a preface to this statistics - I have analyzed BYU vs. Utah game statistics and season statistics for the past 18 years (dating back to 1989). As I stated earlier, the matchup has been about as even as you can be. Check out the evenness of the series, numbers in the games, and trends going into the annual game.
EVEN-STEVEN:
*Last 18 Games: 9-9
*Average Score: BYU 29 - Utah 28
*BYU Average Points per Game: 28.83
*Utah Average Points per Game: 27.61
*Average Margin of Victory: 12 points
*Average Margin of Victory (minus '89,'90,'91,'04): 6 points
*12 Times the Margin of Victory Less Than 10 points
*7 Times the Margin of Victory 3 points of Less
**Taking BYU's Average Points per Game from 2007 (30.9) and Utes' Points Allowed per Game in 2007 (15.5), BYU should score 23.2.
**Taking Utah's Average Points per Game from 2007 (26.9) and BYU's Points Allowed per Game in 2007 (18.8), Utah should score 22.85.
***Strictly by the numbers the score should be BYU 23.2 - Utah 22.85. Not Utah by 5, but BYU by 0.35.
NUMBERS IN THE GAME:
*Team that Rushes for More Yards in the Game: 14-4 (78%)
*Team that Passes for More Yards in the Game: 8-10 (44%)
*Team that Wins the Turnover Battle: 11-3 (79%) - 4 times turnovers even
*Team that Rushes for More Yards and Wins Turnover Battle: 10-1 (91%)
TRENDS GOING INTO THE ANNUAL GAME:
*When BYU comes in with Winning(W)-Streak: 9-4 (69%)
*When BYU comes in with Losing(L)-Streak: 0-5 (0%)
*When Utah comes in with W-Streak: 8-8 (50%)
*When Utah comes in with L-Streak: 1-1 (50%)
*When Both come in with W-Streaks: BYU is 9-2 (82%)
*Never have Both Teams come in with L-Streaks: ---
*When Both come in with W2+ Streaks: BYU 4-1 (80%)
*When Both come in with W3+ Streaks: BYU 2-1 (67%)
*When BYU comes in with W3+ Streak: 7-2 (78%)
*When BYU comes in with W4+ Streak: 6-1 (86%)
*When BYU comes in with W5+ Streak: 5-0 (100%)
*When Utah comes in with W2+ Streak: 4-5 (44%)
*When Utah comes in with W3+ Streak: 2-2 (50%)
*When Utah comes in with W4+ Streak: 1-0 (100%)
*When Utah comes in with W5+ Streak: 1-0 (100%)
*When Both teams come in with 7+ wins: BYU 5-2 (71%)
*When Both teams come in with 8+ wins: 1-1 (50%)
*When Both teams come in with 4+ conference wins: 6-6 (50%)
*When Both teams come in with 5+ conference wins: BYU 3-2 (60%)
*When BYU comes in undefeated in conference: 5-0 (100%)
*When Both teams have combined 2 or less losses in conference: BYU 3-1 (75%)
*When Both teams have combined 3 or less losses in conference: BYU 5-4 (56%)
3 comments:
These stats are interesting. Thanks for your posts, I've enjoyed reading them this week! Go Cougs!
Awesome! I can't believe all of the work you went to. You should apply to any Ivy League school. I bet you could get in. If you are put on the waiting list you could sing in the admissions office. I heard that works.
Great job on the post! The numbers look good for the Cougars.
Great job putting together some intriging stats. I didn't realize how close the series and stats have been over this period. We hope the "U" isn't lite-up when we fly into SLC Sat. night. GREAT JOB!
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